Permanent project revision

Beijing License Plate Lottery & Vehicle Quota System

Revision 2026-08-20-source-dates-2 · effective 2026-07-26

Superseded. A later revision exists: 2026-08-26-claim-mapping →

unreviewed

Record publication (and where stated, revision) dates for this entry's sources.

sha256:c250b2d5165b8cf860cd3d36db2faaec94db4652ede9eae73ce71a6794792dd5

Change set

  • replace /snapshot/projectFingerprint — Updated projectFingerprint to the current sourced project record.
1
of 1 claims mapped
7
source dossiers
6
publication dates recorded
1
archives linked
0
exact locators
0
content captures hashed

Claims, one by one

The text below is copied verbatim from the published record. Each claim names the source dossiers that carry it; caveats stay attached to the claim they qualify.

Claim 1 clm-418e82a55a8efc96 quantitative
the ownership restriction cut Beijing's total car stock by 14%, alongside large reductions in distance driven and rush-hour driving
Published field
impact · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
The evaluation exploits the lottery's randomisation to identify the causal effect on the car stock.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. Yang, Liu, Qin & Linn (2019), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management — peer-reviewed evaluation

Source dossiers and revision state

This layer records what is known about each source, what is still missing, and the exact snapshot this page is rendering. A missing date, archive or hash stays visible as missing.

unreviewed Revision 2026-08-20-source-dates-2 effective 2026-07-26 · created 2026-08-20

Awaiting operator and domain-expert review; publication of this revision implies neither.

sha256:c250b2d5165b8cf860cd3d36db2faaec94db4652ede9eae73ce71a6794792dd5
1
of 1 claims mapped
7
source dossiers
6
publication dates recorded
1
archives linked
0
exact locators
0
content captures hashed

Governance facts carried by the record

Operator
Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport
Actor types
city-government
Funding model
public
Funding description
Not recorded
Cost
Not recorded
Ownership
Not recorded
Decision rights
Not recorded
Exit conditions
Not recorded

7 source dossiers

Beijing Municipal Government — car plate application (authority) english.beijing.gov.cn · background

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-b81e3567c12caaac
Publisher
Name not classified · english.beijing.gov.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
Not recorded
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Official description of the allocation machinery: online user centre, eligibility checks against residence registration and existing vehicle registration, application windows, and joint applications by married couples.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Background source; no baseline claim points here
Xinhua — NEV plates for car-free households (17 May 2025) english.news.cn · background

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-f68ac01dc05f5ffe
Publisher
Name not classified · english.news.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2025-05-17
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Names the Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport as the issuing authority and confirms the points-based ranking system applicants check in the lottery portal.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Background source; no baseline claim points here
Yang, Liu, Qin & Linn (2019), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management — peer-reviewed evaluation rff.org · 1 linked claim

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-e62b640c5bd5dc04
Publisher
Name not classified · rff.org
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2019-10-07
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
Open archived copy ↗ · 2026-02-15
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Uses the lottery's own randomisation (winners vs losers) to estimate causal effects; states the policy reduces the total stock of cars in Beijing by 14%, with large falls in distance driven and rush-hour trips.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
CnEVPost — Beijing offers extra 20,000 EV quotas (19 Jul 2024) cnevpost.com · background

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-d5c5efb6143a17cc
Publisher
Name not classified · cnevpost.com
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2024-07-19
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Quota series: 150,000/yr 2014-2017, 100,000/yr from 2018; NEV share rising from 60,000 to 80,000, plus an extra 20,000 restricted to families with no vehicle.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Background source; no baseline claim points here
Sixth Tone — the odds, citing Xinhua (26 Jun 2018) sixthtone.com · background

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-3c0aa6e1c8ab9a99
Publisher
Name not classified · sixthtone.com
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2018-06-26
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Reports odds of 1 in 2,031 in the June 2018 round, with 6,333 conventional plates on offer.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Background source; no baseline claim points here
China Daily — eight-year new-energy queue (31 Jan 2019) chinadaily.com.cn · background

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-0b28e80f1bd140bc
Publisher
Name not classified · chinadaily.com.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2019-01-31
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Reports some applicants waiting eight years for a new-energy plate, 400,000+ in the queue as of December 2018, against a 60,000 NEV quota for 2019.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Background source; no baseline claim points here
China Daily — closing the out-of-province loophole (15 Jun 2018) chinadaily.com.cn · background

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-e781a27b69c226b8
Publisher
Name not classified · chinadaily.com.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2018-06-15
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-20
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Counterweight: over 700,000 non-local-plated cars were circulating in central Beijing to dodge the lottery; from 1 November 2019 such cars are limited to 12 entry permits a year of seven days each.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Background source; no baseline claim points here
Known limits of this passport
  • Publisher names and source languages have not yet been classified; domains are recorded without guessing.
  • Existing source notes are descriptive locators, not page- or paragraph-exact citations.
  • A missing archive, publication date or content hash is shown as null rather than inferred.
  • The project-level evidence grade ranks the strongest source in the entry; it is not a truth score for every claim.