clm-418e82a55a8efc96
quantitative
the ownership restriction cut Beijing's total car stock by 14%, alongside large reductions in distance driven and rush-hour driving
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clm-418e82a55a8efc96
quantitative
the ownership restriction cut Beijing's total car stock by 14%, alongside large reductions in distance driven and rush-hour driving
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sha256:c250b2d5165b8cf860cd3d36db2faaec94db4652ede9eae73ce71a6794792dd5
src-b81e3567c12caaacOfficial description of the allocation machinery: online user centre, eligibility checks against residence registration and existing vehicle registration, application windows, and joint applications by married couples.
src-f68ac01dc05f5ffeNames the Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport as the issuing authority and confirms the points-based ranking system applicants check in the lottery portal.
src-e62b640c5bd5dc04Uses the lottery's own randomisation (winners vs losers) to estimate causal effects; states the policy reduces the total stock of cars in Beijing by 14%, with large falls in distance driven and rush-hour trips.
src-d5c5efb6143a17ccQuota series: 150,000/yr 2014-2017, 100,000/yr from 2018; NEV share rising from 60,000 to 80,000, plus an extra 20,000 restricted to families with no vehicle.
src-3c0aa6e1c8ab9a99Reports odds of 1 in 2,031 in the June 2018 round, with 6,333 conventional plates on offer.
src-0b28e80f1bd140bcReports some applicants waiting eight years for a new-energy plate, 400,000+ in the queue as of December 2018, against a 60,000 NEV quota for 2019.
src-e781a27b69c226b8Counterweight: over 700,000 non-local-plated cars were circulating in central Beijing to dodge the lottery; from 1 November 2019 such cars are limited to 12 entry permits a year of seven days each.