1001 Smart Cities

Permanent project revision

Beijing License Plate Lottery & Vehicle Quota System

Revision 2026-08-26-claim-mapping · effective 2026-07-26

Current revision. This is the snapshot used by the live entity page.

unreviewed

Added an eight-claim evidence mapping and a sourced lesson; recorded China Daily's dating of the lottery's start to 2010 as a contradiction of the entry's 2011.

sha256:5f484946d17dfa7a0171a8b01faf583809ec8ef9a4cd5e284829702e7f54e24c
All revisions → Current entity page →

Change set

  • replace /snapshot/projectFingerprint — Updated projectFingerprint to the current sourced project record.
  • replace /snapshot/claims — Updated claims to the current sourced project record.
  • replace /snapshot/sources — Updated sources to the current sourced project record.
8
of 8 claims mapped
7
source dossiers
6
publication dates recorded
1
archives linked
0
exact locators
0
content captures hashed

Claims, one by one

The text below is copied verbatim from the published record. Each claim names the source dossiers that carry it; caveats stay attached to the claim they qualify.

Claim 1 clm-57f5b15b1f6f55c3 quantitative
Since 2011 Beijing has rationed the right to buy a car by ballot rather than by price
Published field
snippet · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
The trade report describes the 2024 extra quota as the first relaxation of the car purchase policy since 2011 and sets out the quota series from 2014 onwards.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. CnEVPost — Beijing offers extra 20,000 EV quotas (19 Jul 2024)
Claim 2 clm-d8a97679e0f76aab descriptive
Applicants register in a municipal online system that checks residence and vehicle records
Published field
snippet · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
The city's own instructions describe logging into the allocation system and the residence and vehicle conditions applicants must meet; Xinhua describes household applicants logging in to check their ranking.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. Beijing Municipal Government — car plate application (authority)
  2. Xinhua — NEV plates for car-free households (17 May 2025)
Claim 3 clm-943175b6ea8f4d07 quantitative
100,000 plates a year since 2018, most now reserved for new-energy vehicles and for households owning no car
Published field
snippet · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
The trade report gives the annual quota of 100,000 since 2018 with the EV share rising to 80,000 plus an extra 20,000 restricted to families with no vehicle; Xinhua reports the additional plates as exclusively for new-energy vehicles allocated to car-free households.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. CnEVPost — Beijing offers extra 20,000 EV quotas (19 Jul 2024)
  2. Xinhua — NEV plates for car-free households (17 May 2025)
Claim 4 clm-03be27d461cc7835 quantitative
State media put one 2018 round at odds of about 1 in 2,031, and an eight-year queue for a new-energy plate
Published field
snippet · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
Sixth Tone reports the June 2018 odds of 1 in 2,031 for 6,333 plates; China Daily reports applicants waiting eight years for a new-energy plate against a 60,000 quota.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. Sixth Tone — the odds, citing Xinhua (26 Jun 2018)
  2. China Daily — eight-year new-energy queue (31 Jan 2019)
Claim 5 clm-e38856ae122b8f1b quantitative
the city limited out-of-town vehicles to 12 seven-day entry permits a year from November 2019
Published field
snippet · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
China Daily reports the rule taking effect on 1 November 2019: a maximum of 12 permits a year, each valid for seven consecutive days.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. China Daily — closing the out-of-province loophole (15 Jun 2018)
Claim 6 clm-d9ada257141c31ae quantitative
A peer-reviewed evaluation exploiting the lottery's randomisation finds the ownership restriction cut Beijing's total car stock by 14%, alongside large reductions in distance driven and rush-hour driving
Published field
impact · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
The published summary states that, leveraging the randomisation created by the lottery, the policy reduces the total stock of cars in Beijing by 14% and causes large reductions in distance travelled and in morning and evening rush-hour driving.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. Yang, Liu, Qin & Linn (2019), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management — peer-reviewed evaluation
Claim 7 clm-7e8de6e6c6beb258 quantitative
Because winners and losers are drawn from the same pool of applicants, an evaluation could measure the effect rather than assert it, and it put the cut in Beijing's car stock at 14 per cent
Published field
lesson · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
The evaluation identifies its estimate from the lottery's own randomisation among applicants.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. Yang, Liu, Qin & Linn (2019), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management — peer-reviewed evaluation
Claim 8 clm-bcb6beb1186cbe9e quantitative
more than 700,000 cars registered elsewhere were being driven in the centre, and the city needed a second rule, in force from November 2019, that holds a non-Beijing plate to 84 days a year inside the capital
Published field
lesson · verbatim
Mapping
mapped · no interpretation or interpolation added by this passport
What the mapping says
China Daily reports over 700,000 non-Beijing-plated cars driven constantly downtown and states that the permit rule limits such a car to 84 days a year in the capital.
Caveat
No claim-specific caveat recorded

Sources carrying this claim

  1. China Daily — closing the out-of-province loophole (15 Jun 2018)

Source dossiers and revision state

This layer records what is known about each source, what is still missing, and the exact snapshot this page is rendering. A missing date, archive or hash stays visible as missing.

unreviewed Revision 2026-08-26-claim-mapping effective 2026-07-26 · created 2026-08-26

Awaiting operator and domain-expert review; publication of this revision implies neither.

sha256:5f484946d17dfa7a0171a8b01faf583809ec8ef9a4cd5e284829702e7f54e24c
Revision history → Permanent version link → Machine-readable record → Evidence Constitution →
8
of 8 claims mapped
7
source dossiers
6
publication dates recorded
1
archives linked
0
exact locators
0
content captures hashed

Governance facts carried by the record

Operator
Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport
Actor types
city-government
Funding model
public
Funding description
Not recorded
Cost
Not recorded
Ownership
Not recorded
Decision rights
Not recorded
Exit conditions
Not recorded

7 source dossiers

Beijing Municipal Government — car plate application (authority) english.beijing.gov.cn · 1 linked claim

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-b81e3567c12caaac
Publisher
Name not classified · english.beijing.gov.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
Not recorded
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Official description of the allocation machinery: online user centre, eligibility checks against residence registration and existing vehicle registration, application windows, and joint applications by married couples.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Xinhua — NEV plates for car-free households (17 May 2025) english.news.cn · 2 linked claims

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-f68ac01dc05f5ffe
Publisher
Name not classified · english.news.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2025-05-17
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Names the Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport as the issuing authority and confirms the points-based ranking system applicants check in the lottery portal.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Yang, Liu, Qin & Linn (2019), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management — peer-reviewed evaluation rff.org · 2 linked claims

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-e62b640c5bd5dc04
Publisher
Name not classified · rff.org
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2019-10-07
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
Open archived copy ↗ · 2026-02-15
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Uses the lottery's own randomisation (winners vs losers) to estimate causal effects; states the policy reduces the total stock of cars in Beijing by 14%, with large falls in distance driven and rush-hour trips.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
CnEVPost — Beijing offers extra 20,000 EV quotas (19 Jul 2024) cnevpost.com · 2 linked claims

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-d5c5efb6143a17cc
Publisher
Name not classified · cnevpost.com
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2024-07-19
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Quota series: 150,000/yr 2014-2017, 100,000/yr from 2018; NEV share rising from 60,000 to 80,000, plus an extra 20,000 restricted to families with no vehicle.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Sixth Tone — the odds, citing Xinhua (26 Jun 2018) sixthtone.com · 1 linked claim

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-3c0aa6e1c8ab9a99
Publisher
Name not classified · sixthtone.com
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2018-06-26
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Reports odds of 1 in 2,031 in the June 2018 round, with 6,333 conventional plates on offer.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
China Daily — eight-year new-energy queue (31 Jan 2019) chinadaily.com.cn · 1 linked claim

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-0b28e80f1bd140bc
Publisher
Name not classified · chinadaily.com.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2019-01-31
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Reports some applicants waiting eight years for a new-energy plate, 400,000+ in the queue as of December 2018, against a 60,000 NEV quota for 2019.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
China Daily — closing the out-of-province loophole (15 Jun 2018) chinadaily.com.cn · 2 linked claims

Open original source ↗

Stable source ID
src-e781a27b69c226b8
Publisher
Name not classified · chinadaily.com.cn
Type / language
web-page · language not classified
Published
2018-06-15
Updated
Not recorded
Source last checked
No source-level check date
Record last verified
2026-07-26
Dossier created
2026-08-26
Retrieved copy
No local capture recorded
Archive
No archived copy linked
Content hash
No captured content hash
Locator
Open the recorded source note

Counterweight: over 700,000 non-local-plated cars were circulating in central Beijing to dodge the lottery; from 1 November 2019 such cars are limited to 12 entry permits a year of seven days each.

Descriptive only — not page/paragraph exact
Claims linked
Known limits of this passport
  • Publisher names and source languages have not yet been classified; domains are recorded without guessing.
  • Existing source notes are descriptive locators, not page- or paragraph-exact citations.
  • A missing archive, publication date or content hash is shown as null rather than inferred.
  • The project-level evidence grade ranks the strongest source in the entry; it is not a truth score for every claim.