clm-b62dd1cf01ab9e1a
quantitative
A peer-reviewed study of route-level ridership across the staged 2006-2009 rollout found Bus Tracker did raise CTA bus ridership, though 'the average increase is modest'
Permanent project revision
Revision 2026-08-20-source-dates · effective 2026-07-26
Superseded. A later revision exists: 2026-08-20-source-dates-corrected →
Created the first structured Evidence Passport with 1 claim and 9 source dossiers.
sha256:a8a6805789c2026fc1b9b026733e1f56e77c0788f23351db3f2565b1b99cadce
add /evidencePassport — Added claim-level evidence mapping and source dossiers.add /revisionHistory — Established a permanent, hash-addressed baseline revision.The text below is copied verbatim from the published record. Each claim names the source dossiers that carry it; caveats stay attached to the claim they qualify.
clm-b62dd1cf01ab9e1a
quantitative
A peer-reviewed study of route-level ridership across the staged 2006-2009 rollout found Bus Tracker did raise CTA bus ridership, though 'the average increase is modest'
This layer records what is known about each source, what is still missing, and the exact snapshot this page is rendering. A missing date, archive or hash stays visible as missing.
Awaiting operator and domain-expert review; publication of this revision implies neither.
sha256:a8a6805789c2026fc1b9b026733e1f56e77c0788f23351db3f2565b1b99cadce
src-1f9a4f6718b97f74Lists the Bus Tracker API, Train Tracker API, Customer Alerts API, GTFS schedule data and the GTFS-Realtime feeds, each requiring a free registered developer key. Direct fetch from this environment returned 403; contents confirmed through the indexed CTA sub-pages, incl. the Train Tracker key application form. The Train Tracker developer guide (PDF, not renderable here) is the origin of the circulating default limit of 100,000 transactions per day — deliberately not asserted in the entry.
src-d6103403e35129a7The licence, verified verbatim from a mirrored copy at openmobilitydata-data.s3-us-west-1.amazonaws.com/public/feeds/chicago-transit-authority/165/20150206/original/developers_license_agreement.htm: a 'limited, non-exclusive, non-assignable, non-transferable and revocable license'; data 'may not be used, in whole or in part, for any other purpose' than assisting riders or promoting public transportation; 'You will not sell, auction or barter any CTA Data separate from your application.' Attribution is explicitly optional. Data is supplied 'AS IS' with no representation as to accuracy or completeness.
src-a310fc2668d0d9abTransportation Research Part C 22 (2012), 146-161. Uses the staged 2006-2009 rollout as a natural experiment on route-level monthly weekday ridership, January 2002 to December 2010. Abstract read at worldtransitresearch.info/research/4150/: 'the provision of Bus Tracker service does increase CTA bus ridership, although the average increase is modest.' The per-route trip figures circulating in secondary reports were not confirmable against the paper and are not used.
src-9c4df3507eb41ebeThe consequence: the CTA began sharing cancelled runs on 1 May 2025 so they no longer appear as scheduled buses; Transit adopted it days later, Ventra, Google Maps and Apple Maps to follow. Carries the CTA's June 2025 delivery figures — 98.8% of scheduled buses, 88% of scheduled trains — and weekday ridership at about 69% of 2019.
src-d70829cb245b1010Civic-tech group formed spring 2022, project page November 2022. Scrapes the CTA Bus Tracker getvehicles feed every five minutes and compares it with the CTA's own GTFS schedule; collection began 20 May 2022. The clearest case in the atlas of an agency feed used to audit the agency.
src-de963b61597ab024Independent analysis of over 100 million real-time bus locations from the Ghost Buses archive, June 2022 to July 2024: 'The CTA initially decreased scheduled service in early 2022 through 2023 to match the slower real-time performance and later increased it in early 2024.' Metrics include excess wait time and actual versus scheduled buses by community area.
src-e7ee9eea3fa7ebcdChronology: pilot 5 August 2006 on route 20/Madison, thirteen routes by March 2008, last routes May 2009, Train Tracker 8 January 2011. Also records the sequence behind the API — a Chicago developer reverse-engineered the Bus Tracker feeds before the CTA formally released one. No launch date for the official API is given here or in any source found, so none is claimed.
src-ab5788b0091a853fSummarising the FTA-sponsored 'Traveler Information Systems and Wayfinding Technologies in Transit Systems' (2 May 2011): 'As a result, the Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) has a 92% accuracy rate for bus arrival prediction.' Self-reported by the CTA and relayed by a federal state-of-practice review, not an independent audit — recorded here rather than in the impact field. No independent evaluation of CTA prediction accuracy was found.
src-8a2fce3a88189f13Currency check: feed listed Active, service window beginning 7 July 2026, quality report last updated 11 July 2026.